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Commentary

Israel’s Iran options after the 12-day war

Any sign that Iran is rebuilding its nuclear and missile programme would likely push Israeli decision makers to order the next major attack against targets in Iran. But this would require the consent of the Trump administration, writes Meir Javedanfar. The Israeli government considers its ability to get Trump to join the war in June a considerable accomplishment and will unlikely want to sacrifice this achievement by angering Trump, especially as the next US-Israel military-assistance MOU is up for renegotiation.

27 August 2025 | Meir Javedanfar
Commentary

Network reflections: U.S.-Russia Summit

Trump and Putin are due to meet on Friday to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. In light of the EU leaders’ statement of 12 August that any deal must respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and involve Kyiv, we asked ELN network members what can and what should European governments do to ensure that Washington and Russia act upon those principles? How can the EU influence the outcome of the bilateral talks, sustain transatlantic unity, and prepare for different possible outcomes?

Commentary

The US-Ukraine mineral resources agreement as a signpost in Eurasia’s emerging resource realignment

The recent mineral resources agreement between the US and Ukraine is more than just an isolated bilateral deal – it is part of a broader pattern unfolding across Eurasia as Western powers ramp up efforts to secure alternative sources of strategic raw materials in competition with China and Russia. Nikita Gryazin and Daniel Shapiro write that if the West hopes to offer a viable, sustainable alternative to the China-Russia axis, it must begin acting not as a set of competing actors but as a coordinated front.

3 July 2025 | Nikita Gryazin and Daniel Shapiro
Commentary

A tale of two summits

Around the political NATO Summit in the Hague last week, with its limited ambition to make Donald Trump happy again, a less visible and much more productive summit occurred, writes ELN Senior Network Member Nicholas Dungan. Concentrating on what Europe needs to do to increase European deterrence, efficiency, and resilience, it produced sound thinking and actionable proposals.

1 July 2025 | Nicholas Dungan
Podcast

The Women Leaders podcast: A NATO Summit for “Daddy”

This week’s NATO summit will go down in history, not only for all but one of the Alliance’s members agreeing to spend 5% of their GDP on defence, but also for Mark Rutte, the Alliance’s Secretary General, referring to President Trump as “Daddy”. ELN Senior Associate Fellow Ilana Bet-El breaks the summit down with two Big Women Leaders who were recent ambassadors to NATO: Kerry Buck of Canada and Muriel Domenach of France.

27 June 2025 | Ilana Bet-El and Florence Ferrando