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Page 8 of 61
Policy brief

NATO’s revival of collective defence and the challenge of national commitments

As leaders gather in Washington for a three day summit to mark NATO’s 75th anniversary, ELN Senior Associate Fellows Nicholas Williams and Simon Lunn analyse the re-emergence of collective defence as a priority within the alliance, and what it means for national governments. The paper argues that NATO’s regional plans should be the subject of parliamentary scrutiny by individual national parliaments to ensure that national commitments to NATO are consistent with the resources and political aims of their respective countries.

9 July 2024 | Nicholas Williams and Simon Lunn
Baltic SeaBlack SeaCentral EuropeDefenceDemocracyDeterrenceEastern EuropeEconomyEUEuropeForeign policyMilitary DoctrineNATONuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityUkraineSenior Associate Fellow
Commentary

How would humans react to nuclear catastrophe?

Most analyses of the effects of nuclear war focus on the impacts in terms of casualties and climate shocks. But there would be many second-order and third-order effects on political, social, and economic systems. Sir Adam Thomson and Paul Ingram write that it is imperative to avoid a nuclear war. If all such efforts fail, we need to understand what it would mean for global civilisation and what we could start to do to prepare.

19 June 2024 | Adam Thomson and Paul Ingram
NPTGlobal SecurityMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurity
Commentary

Ok, Doomer! The NEVER podcast – Biological threats: Going viral

Listen to the fourth episode of the NEVER podcast – Ok, Doomer! In this episode, we explore biological existential and global catastrophic risks. Featuring an introduction to the topic and an exploration of some of the technological mitigation techniques we have available for biological risks, a panel discussion exploring the current state of the international governance of biological risks, and we will also delve into whether humanity’s recent brush with COVID-19 has better or worse prepared us for future pandemics, be they man-made or natural.

17 June 2024 | Jane Kinninmont, Edan Simpson, Jasper Götting, Angela Kane, Anemone Franz, Emil Nafis Iftekhar and Bekki Field
EDTsEmerging Disruptive Technologies and Risk ReductionBiosecurityDefenceDiplomacyDisinformationEmerging technologiesGovernanceInternational LawNEVERPodcastsSecurityWMDsNEVER
Commentary

Time to engage seriously with the TPNW’s security concerns

Alexander Kmentt, Director for Disarmament, Arms Control, and Nonproliferation at the Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and ELN Senior Network member, writes that opponents of the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) in nuclear-armed states should stop dismissing the treaty outright. Instead, they should begin addressing the legitimate security concerns surrounding deterrence that are raised by its supporters.

4 June 2024 | Alexander Kmentt
NPTGlobal SecurityArms ControlDefenceDeterrenceDiplomacyInternational LawMilitary DoctrineNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityWMDsELN
Report

Asia-Pacific flashpoints: Comparing Australian, Japanese, South Korean & UK perceptions

This ELN and APLN report compares Australian, Japanese, South Korean, and UK risk perceptions towards Taiwan and North Korea. It finds that diverging perceptions of risk in the Asia-Pacific are potential obstacles to policy coordination and offers recommendations for how to address this.

29 May 2024 | Joel Petersson Ivre, Rishi Paul, Alice Saltini, Dr Tanya Ogilvie-White and Oliver Meier
Asia-PacificGlobal SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionChinaDPRKNorth KoreaNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsSecurityUnited KingdomAPLN
Commentary

Iran: The implications of President Raisi’s death

The ELN’s Policy and Impact Director, Jane Kinninmont, analyses why the deaths of Iran’s President and Foreign Minister, Ebrahim Raisi and Hossein Amirabdollahian, doesn’t necessarily represent a shift in global politics. She explains that the probable candidates to replace Raisi are likely to endorse a continuation of current Iranian foreign policy, and any changes will be hard to notice for external observers.

22 May 2024 | Jane Kinninmont
IranGlobal SecurityArms ControlDefenceDiplomacyForeign policyIranJCPOAMiddle EastNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionSecurityUnited StatesWMDs