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Commentary

Hans Blix: Can arms control survive this dangerous age of war and rearmament?

Veteran diplomat and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Emeritus Hans Blix warns that a volatile world of renewed great-power conflict and accelerating rearmament is eroding the foundations of arms control. While nuclear deterrence still restrains escalation, diplomatic failure, proliferation risks, and waning trust in global agreements raise urgent questions about whether meaningful disarmament, and lasting peace, remain politically achievable.

10 April 2026 | Hans Blix
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationArms ControlDeterrenceForeign policyInternational LawMiddle EastNuclear DisarmamentNuclear WeaponsELN
Commentary

Île-Longue revisited: Charting a Franco-German nuclear future

French President Emmanuel Macron’s recent speech at the Île-Longue submarine base introduced a long-awaited framework for reconfiguring European deterrence amid an increasingly dangerous and uncertain security landscape. Julia Berghofer and Astrid Chevreuil examine how France’s “forward deterrence” doctrine reshapes Franco-German cooperation, NATO dynamics, and Europe’s nuclear future while addressing emerging disarmament tensions.

31 March 2026 | Julia Berghofer and Astrid Chevreuil
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationDeterrenceFranceGermanyNATONuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Report

Managing long-term confrontation with Russia: Elements of a European strategy

The evolving confrontation between Europe and Russia is not a temporary crisis but a long-term condition that must be managed. In this report, ELN Senior Policy Fellow Alexander Graef sets out a strategy for governing a prolonged and adversarial relationship with Moscow beyond the war, focused on strengthening European political agency, credible deterrence, and governing escalation risks.

18 March 2026 | Alexander Graef
ConnectRussia-West relationsDeterrenceEuropeForeign policyRussiaRussia-West RelationsELNYGLN
Video

From Risk to Reduction: Practical steps for safer nuclear systems

Nuclear weapons aren’t going anywhere, and the way we manage them can and must keep evolving. Today’s security environment is more complex than during the Cold War: more nuclear-armed states, faster decision-making technologies, and fewer treaties providing guardrails. The good news? Proven tools exist to reduce risk, from fail-safe mechanisms to dialogue between adversaries, and they don’t all require perfect trust or total agreement. This animation explains both the challenges and the credible paths forward.

17 February 2026
2NTFailsafeEmerging Disruptive Technologies and Risk ReductionDeterrenceEmerging technologiesEuropeNuclear DisarmamentNuclear SecurityNuclear WeaponsELNYGLN
Commentary

Building Europe’s “drone wall”: Embracing and scaling cheap defensive technologies

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has made drone warfare a defining feature of modern conflict. Yet NATO and EU states continue to rely on interceptor systems that cost orders of magnitude more than the drones they are meant to destroy. Drawing on lessons from Ukraine’s battlefield experience, Gabriella Calder argues that European allies must urgently scale up affordable, interoperable counter-drone technologies, or risk exhausting their arsenals before deterrence can take hold.

16 December 2025 | Gabriella Calder
Russia-WestRussia-West relationsAir spaceDefenceDeterrenceEmerging technologiesEuropeNATORussiaUkraine
Commentary

Nuclear testing: unwise, unnecessary, and unwelcome

The current debate around a possible resumption of nuclear testing introduces a new level of brinkmanship in an already fraught geopolitical climate. As the testing moratorium risks being weaponised for great-power competition, ELN Senior Policy Fellow Julia Berghofer writes that European states, including nuclear-armed ones, must speak with one voice and make clear that nuclear testing is unwise, unnecessary, and unwelcome.

20 November 2025 | Julia Berghofer
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationNPT ProjectArms ControlCTBTDeterrenceNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionUnited States