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Commentary

‘NATO 3.0’ and Europe’s security future

European security architecture is at a crossroads as NATO and the EU search for new roles amid growing uncertainty over the future of transatlantic security. With debate over a more European NATO and a European nuclear umbrella gathering pace, Tarja Cronberg argues that the Ankara summit will test whether allies can move beyond technical debates about defence spending and burden-sharing to articulate a collective vision for Europe’s future security order.

7 July 2026 | Tarja Cronberg
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDeterrenceEuropeForeign policyNATONuclear WeaponsRussia-West RelationsSecurityTransatlantic relationsELN
Commentary

‘Europeanising’ NATO: what it means in practice

With the United States reducing its strategic role in Europe, NATO is entering a new era of European leadership. ELN Executive Director Robert Ondrejcsák argues that Europe’s priority should be strengthening alliance capabilities rather than creating parallel structures, while examining how rising defence spending, shifting military power within the continent, and new security partnerships will shape NATO’s long-term “Europeanisation”.

1 July 2026 | Robert Ondrejcsák
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDeterrenceEUEuropeForeign policyNATOSecurityTransatlantic relationsUkraineELN
Commentary

A more European NATO, but who leads?

NATO’s ongoing adaptation process and unilateral US decisions have created the foundations for a larger European role in transatlantic security, writes ELN Programme Lead Alexander Graef. Whether Europeans can sustain that role politically remains uncertain. The value of the alliance’s upcoming summit may therefore ultimately lie in whether it helps Europeans begin addressing the political implications of a military transformation that is already underway.

22 June 2026 | Alexander Graef
Euro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceDeterrenceEuropeForeign policyNATORussiaUkraineUnited StatesELN
Commentary

The challenges facing NATO and how to meet them

Ahead of the July NATO Summit in Ankara, Ahmet Üzümcü, former Permanent Representative of Turkey to NATO, reflects on the alliance’s transformation from 16 to 32 members and the challenges shaping its future. From burden-sharing and European defence to nuclear deterrence, Ukraine, China, and transatlantic tensions, he argues that NATO’s continued success will depend on unity, credible deterrence, and meaningful political consultation among allies.

15 June 2026 | Ahmet Üzümcü
Euro-Atlantic SecurityAsia-Pacific RegionDeterrenceForeign policyNATORussia-West RelationsTransatlantic relationsUkraineELN
Commentary

At cross purposes? The TPNW and US alliance commitments

As the US behaves with increasing unpredictability, it is becoming necessary for its allies to develop more independent foreign policy paths. Taking a leadership role on the TPNW could be part of that shift, writes Davis Ellison. This does not mean allies should immediately join the treaty, but rather that the assumption of incompatibility has unnecessarily constrained debate.

22 April 2026 | Davis Ellison
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationArms ControlDeterrenceNATONPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear Weapons
Commentary

P5 perspectives on the 2026 NPT Review Conference: Russia

In the fifth in our series exploring P5 perspectives on the forthcoming 2026 NPT Review Conference, former Soviet and Russian Ministry for Foreign Affairs official Nikolai Sokov sets out Russia’s position, highlighting its response to US and Israeli military actions, emphasis on sovereign equality and peaceful nuclear rights, and increasingly assertive framing of proliferation risks, alongside growing alignment with China and outreach to the Global South.

21 April 2026 | Nikolai Sokov
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationDeterrenceNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsRussiaRussia-West Relations