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Commentary

Is the Trump administration committed to the defence of NATO?

Given Donald Trump’s unpredictability over what he may or may not do regarding the US presence in and support for NATO, there are a range of possible consequences arising from his quixotic actions for America’s longest-standing alliance. David Richards and Harlan Ullman unpack how Europe can compensate for any major US force reductions and what a revitalised NATO might look like.

12 August 2026 | David Richards and Harlan Ullman
Report

State-to-state cooperation between NATO and IP4 member states: Successes, constraints, and prospects for crisis prevention

This is the third report in a three-part series produced under a NATO Science for Peace and Security (SPS) Programme project examining how NATO and its Indo-Pacific partners can strengthen cross-regional crisis prevention and strategic cooperation. It examines how bilateral and minilateral partnerships can strengthen practical cooperation between NATO and Indo-Pacific partner states.

Report

Institutional cooperation between NATO and IP4: Expectations, constraints, and cooperation prospects

This is the second report in a three-part series produced under a NATO Science for Peace and Security (SPS) Programme project examining how NATO and its Indo-Pacific partners can strengthen cross-regional crisis prevention and strategic cooperation. It explores the opportunities and constraints shaping institutional cooperation between NATO and the Indo-Pacific 4 (IP4).

Report

Managing cross-theatre escalation: Perceptions, flashpoints, and constraints on strategic cooperation in the Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific

This is the first report in a three-part series produced under a NATO Science for Peace and Security (SPS) Programme project examining how NATO and its Indo-Pacific partners can strengthen cross-regional crisis prevention and strategic cooperation. It explores the strategic dynamics, perceptions, and escalation risks increasingly linking the Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific.

Commentary

The unforeseen consequences of the NATO Ankara summit

Despite the success of the Ankara summit, the US is gradually decoupling itself from Europe in ways that will have profound consequences for European security and strategic stability. As ELN Senior Associate Fellow Nicholas Williams writes, NATO will not collapse in a single dramatic moment; it is slowly changing into something less able to perform its central task.

16 July 2026 | Nicholas Williams
Commentary

Thirty years later, the ICJ’s advisory opinion on nuclear weapons still matters

Thirty years ago today, the International Court of Justice drew a direct line between nuclear threats and the potential use of nuclear weapons. Now, as nuclear rhetoric returns to the centre of international politics, ELN Policy Fellow Jana Baldus argues the Court’s landmark advisory opinion remains an essential legal guide, and a call to action.

8 July 2026 | Jana Baldus