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Commentary

AI enables strategic stupidity. That should terrify Europe

AI-enabled warfare is giving the United States unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, writes Erasmus University Rotterdam Professor Michal Onderco. From the Caracas raid to strikes in Iran, reduced risks enable operations with minimal casualties. That ease lowers the bar for war, leaving allies exposed to miscalculation and dependence on a partner willing to act without planning the aftermath.

14 April 2026 | Michal Onderco
Emerging Disruptive Technologies and Risk ReductionArms ControlArtificial IntelligenceCyberEmerging technologiesEuropeIranUnited States
Commentary

Hans Blix: Can arms control survive this dangerous age of war and rearmament?

Veteran diplomat and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Emeritus Hans Blix warns that a volatile world of renewed great-power conflict and accelerating rearmament is eroding the foundations of arms control. While nuclear deterrence still restrains escalation, diplomatic failure, proliferation risks, and waning trust in global agreements raise urgent questions about whether meaningful disarmament, and lasting peace, remain politically achievable.

10 April 2026 | Hans Blix
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationArms ControlDeterrenceForeign policyInternational LawMiddle EastNuclear DisarmamentNuclear WeaponsELN
Commentary

P5 perspectives on the 2026 NPT Review Conference: United States

In the second in our series exploring P5 perspectives on the forthcoming 2026 NPT Review Conference, Arms Control Association Board Chair and diplomat Thomas Countryman examines the United States’ approach, highlighting a lack of ambition on arms control and risk reduction, and raising doubts about whether the Trump administration will play a constructive role in securing a successful outcome at the RevCon.

27 March 2026 | Thomas Countryman
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationArms ControlForeign policyNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsUnited States
Commentary

European perspectives on the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Germany

Continuing our commentary series exploring different European perspectives ahead of the 2026 NPT Review Conference, Carmen Wunderlich writes that Germany’s current policy towards the NPT reflects not only a change in tone but also a gradual shift in priorities towards pragmatic measures such as risk reduction and confidence-building, while multilateral disarmament seems to have lost political salience.

11 March 2026 | Carmen Wunderlich
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationNPT ProjectArms ControlCTBTDefenceEuropeGermanyNuclear Arms ControlNuclear Disarmament
Commentary

European perspectives on the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Italy

In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for and leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be complicated by diverging priorities among European states. In the first of our commentary series exploring different European perspectives, YGLN member Federica Dall’Arche reflects on Italy’s perspective on the Treaty and its approach to the 2026 Review Conference. She writes that rather than focusing on ambitious normative breakthroughs, priority should be given to preserving the Treaty’s role as a stabilising framework.

5 February 2026 | Federica Dall’Arche
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationNPT ProjectArms ControlDefenceDiplomacyEuropeItalyNuclear Arms ControlNuclear SecurityRisk ReductionYGLN
Commentary

The NPT can’t ignore emerging technologies anymore

As State Parties prepare for the 2026 Review Conference, Bailey Schiff and Diya Ashtakala write that engaging with emerging technologies, which are already transforming military programmes, as well as verification and civilian nuclear programmes, offers a way to break entrenched debates. Revisiting longstanding challenges regarding non-proliferation and the peaceful uses of nuclear technology through the framework of emerging technologies may be one of the few practical paths to relieve pressure on the NPT by opening space for innovation and debate across the three pillars.

13 January 2026 | Bailey Schiff and Diya Ashtakala
EDTsArms ControlEmerging technologiesGovernanceNPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsRisk ReductionWMDs