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Commentary

Is this the end of automatic Atlanticism in Germany?

Germany is entering a new era in its relationship with the United States. The old Atlanticist reflex has not disappeared, however it no longer reflects the instincts of the next generation of senior officials. For them, the moral clarity of the Cold War is not the starting point. It is an era of disruption, doubt, and strategic volatility. Berlin should take this into account, writes Vincent Tadday. The future of the transatlantic relationship will not be secured by waiting for the past to return.

5 May 2026 | Vincent Tadday
Euro-Atlantic SecurityEuropeForeign policyGermanyNATOTransatlantic relationsUnited States
Commentary

Different roles, shared outcomes: Europe in the Indo-Pacific

At NATO headquarters and in European chancelleries, a new consensus has emerged: the security of the Euro-Atlantic and the Indo-Pacific is indivisible. Yet Europe’s major powers are responding to this reality in strikingly different ways. As Harvard Kennedy School Fellow Joel Christoph writes, this divergence is not a weakness to be papered over. It is an asset that should be organised.

29 April 2026 | Joël Christoph
NATO SPSEuro-Atlantic SecurityDefenceEuropeIndo-PacificNATONEVER
Commentary

At cross purposes? The TPNW and US alliance commitments

As the US behaves with increasing unpredictability, it is becoming necessary for its allies to develop more independent foreign policy paths. Taking a leadership role on the TPNW could be part of that shift, writes Davis Ellison. This does not mean allies should immediately join the treaty, but rather that the assumption of incompatibility has unnecessarily constrained debate.

22 April 2026 | Davis Ellison
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationArms ControlDeterrenceNATONPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear DisarmamentNuclear Weapons
Commentary

European perspectives on the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Poland

Continuing our commentary series exploring European perspectives ahead of the 2026 NPT Review Conference, Łukasz Kulesa sets out Poland’s approach, balancing firm support for the Treaty with heightened security concerns, reaffirming non-proliferation commitments while prioritizing deterrence credibility, NATO cohesion, and pragmatic outcomes in a deeply polarised and uncertain global environment.

20 April 2026 | Łukasz Kulesa
NPTMultilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationEUNATONPTNuclear Arms ControlNuclear WeaponsPolandELN
Commentary

Île-Longue revisited: Charting a Franco-German nuclear future

French President Emmanuel Macron’s recent speech at the Île-Longue submarine base introduced a long-awaited framework for reconfiguring European deterrence amid an increasingly dangerous and uncertain security landscape. Julia Berghofer and Astrid Chevreuil examine how France’s “forward deterrence” doctrine reshapes Franco-German cooperation, NATO dynamics, and Europe’s nuclear future while addressing emerging disarmament tensions.

31 March 2026 | Julia Berghofer and Astrid Chevreuil
Multilateral Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-ProliferationDeterrenceFranceGermanyNATONuclear SecurityNuclear Weapons
Commentary

After Ukraine: Six principles for managing Europe’s security divide

ELN Senior Associate Fellow, Sir Adam Thomson, explores how Europe and Russia might navigate security after the war in Ukraine. Before debating end-states or shared rules, both sides should first agree on “process principles” – practical, step-by-step guidelines to manage confrontation, reduce escalation risks, and gradually foster a more stable, long-term coexistence.

26 March 2026 | Adam Thomson
ConnectEuropeNATORussia-West RelationsSecurityUkraineELNSenior Associate Fellow