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Podcast

The Women Leaders podcast: The South Caucasus conundrum

As the eyes of the world look to the US, Ukraine, and the Middle East, attention is distracted from rapidly changing events in the Caucasus. Traditionally Russia’s “backyard”, its full-scale invasion of Ukraine has lessened its influence in the region. Meanwhile, Armenia is in disarray following Azerbaijan’s military offensive in the Nagorno-Karabakh region in 2023, and in Georgia, the Russia-backed government is cracking down on opposition leaders. To understand these fascinating dynamics, ELN Senior Associate Fellow Ilana Bet-El is joined by YGLN member Tinatin Japaridze, Eurasia analyst at the Eurasia Group.

11 July 2025 | Ilana Bet-El, Florence Ferrando and Tinatin Japaridze
Russia-WestRussia-West relationsArmeniaBlack SeaDemocracyDiplomacyEUEuropeForeign policyGeorgiaPodcastsRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityTurkeyUkraineSenior Associate FellowYGLN
Commentary

Interpreting the new US-Armenia Strategic Partnership

In light of the US and Armenia starting a new Strategic Partnership, YGLN member Daniel Shapiro explores the move by Armenia and other states in the Caucasus to diversify their alliances, especially in light of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

27 February 2025 | Daniel Shapiro
Russia-WestRussia-West relationsArmeniaBlack SeaDefenceDemocracyDiplomacyEUEurasian Economic UnionEuropeForeign policyGeorgiaNATORisk ReductionRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityUnited StatesYGLN
Commentary

Nagorno-Karabakh: Violence amid mediation

Neither Russian peacekeepers nor EU mediation have prevented Azerbaijan from violently retaking Nagorno-Karabakh. The ELN’s Policy & Impact Director Jane Kinninmont analyses the geopolitical realignments underlying the offensive which has caused tens of thousands of ethnic Armenians to flee, and suggests means to avoid further conflict in the South Caucasus.

27 September 2023 | Jane Kinninmont
European DefenceArmeniaDiplomacyEUEuropeForeign policyRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityTurkeyUnited NationsUnited StatesELN
Policy brief

Year two of the invasion: Where do former Soviet countries stand?

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, governments in the former Soviet Union were immediately forced to deal with difficult geopolitical realities. In this report for the ELN, YGLN member Daniel Shapiro uses quantitative and qualitative analysis to show there is increased heterogeneity in geopolitical positioning among post-Soviet states and offers key lessons from this for Western policymakers.

4 July 2023 | Daniel Shapiro
Euro-Atlantic SecurityArmeniaBaltic SeaBalticsBelarusBlack SeaCentral AsiaDiplomacyEastern EuropeEUEurasian Economic UnionGeorgiaRussiaUkraineYGLN
Commentary

Can the EU solve Nagorno-Karabakh’s emergency?

This weekend’s meeting between the EU, Azerbaijan and Armenia is timely and important, as there are real risks that the humanitarian emergency in Nagorno-Karabakh may be a prelude to wider escalation in the southern Caucasus, writes Jane Kinninmont. As the Minsk Group of governments tasked with addressing the conflict appears to be barely active, the EU role will be critical.

10 May 2023 | Jane Kinninmont
European DefenceArmeniaCentral AsiaDiplomacyEastern EuropeIranJCPOARussiaTurkeyELN