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Commentary

Understanding Russia’s wartime economy and why it matters for Euro-Atlantic security

Russia’s ability to sustain its war in Ukraine depends on its economic base. YGLN member Sinikka Parviainen argues wartime mobilisation has enabled defence production growth despite sanctions, but deep structural weaknesses are accumulating, signalling long-term fragility. Euro-Atlantic policy should intensify targeted economic pressure while preparing for a weakened yet enduring Russian military and political threat.

20 March 2026 | Sinikka Parviainen
Managing confrontationRussia-West relationsEconomyEuropeRussiaRussia-West RelationsSecurityYGLN
Report

Managing long-term confrontation with Russia: Elements of a European strategy

The evolving confrontation between Europe and Russia is not a temporary crisis but a long-term condition that must be managed. In this report, ELN Senior Policy Fellow Alexander Graef sets out a strategy for governing a prolonged and adversarial relationship with Moscow beyond the war, focused on strengthening European political agency, credible deterrence, and governing escalation risks.

18 March 2026 | Alexander Graef
ConnectRussia-West relationsDeterrenceEuropeForeign policyRussiaRussia-West RelationsELNYGLN
Commentary

Greenland, the United States and Arctic security: Towards a credible and principled Transatlantic response

Trump’s decision at Davos to temper earlier calls for US “ownership” of Greenland has lowered the immediate diplomatic temperature. Yet Greenland continues to occupy a central place in US defence planning and geoeconomic strategy, and the broader Arctic remains shaped by renewed Russian military activity and expanding Chinese economic interests. The underlying strategic drivers, therefore, persist, even if the rhetoric has softened. YGLN members write that this will have consequences for Europe and beyond, requiring increased cooperation and strengthening alliance cohesion.

9 March 2026 | Federica Dall’Arche, Alexandra Filippenko, Gabriella Gricius, Henrik Larsen and Nikita Gryazin
Russia-West relationsArcticNATOTransatlantic relationsUnited StatesYGLN
Commentary

The AI lens of cognitive warfare: Why LLMs language bias is a security risk

In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLN member Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda. Samokhodskyi writes that this is a cognitive warfare problem that shapes how millions of users understand contested events. Europe needs to take three policy steps to address this.

10 February 2026 | Ihor Samokhodskyi
Russia-West relationsDisinformationEmerging technologiesEuropeRussiaYGLN
Podcast

The Women Leaders podcast: When dignity dies

The second Trump administration has strained democracy, alliances, and the postwar order. Allies feel abandoned, betrayed, and disrespected, and the US retreat from the Global South has allowed Russian and Chinese influence to grow in its place. Europe confronts a painful reckoning, questioning trust, values, and its future role in an era of accelerating geopolitical change. To break this down, ELN Senior Associate Fellow Ilana Bet-El is joined by Almut Möller, Director for European and Global Affairs at the European Policy Centre (EPC), and former senior Danish diplomat Signe Biering.

23 January 2026 | Ilana Bet-El and Florence Ferrando
Russia-West relationsArcticChinaDemocracyDiplomacyEUEuropePodcastsRussiaUkraineUnited NationsUnited States
Commentary

Building Europe’s “drone wall”: Embracing and scaling cheap defensive technologies

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has made drone warfare a defining feature of modern conflict. Yet NATO and EU states continue to rely on interceptor systems that cost orders of magnitude more than the drones they are meant to destroy. Drawing on lessons from Ukraine’s battlefield experience, Gabriella Calder argues that European allies must urgently scale up affordable, interoperable counter-drone technologies, or risk exhausting their arsenals before deterrence can take hold.

16 December 2025 | Gabriella Calder
Russia-WestRussia-West relationsAir spaceDefenceDeterrenceEmerging technologiesEuropeNATORussiaUkraine