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Toby Drinkall

Toby Drinkall is a researcher at the University of Oxford’s Internet Institute and a Fellow at the Next Frontier Seminar, working at the intersection of computational social science, artificial intelligence, and national security. Toby develops evaluation frameworks to benchmark how large...

Person

Anna Davis

Dr Anna J. Davis is Co-Founder and Director of Sefton Analytics Ltd, Fellow and Contributing Editor at the Jamestown Foundation, and Tutor at the University of Oxford. Anna is an internationally recognised subject-matter expert in international relations, energy security, and nuclear technology...

Commentary

Not so quiet on the Western Front: Why Russia’s Zapad exercise highlights the need for military confidence-building measures

Russia’s strategic exercise Zapad, which begins later this week, is not only about combat preparation; it is also an instrument of strategic communication. The real challenge is reading it correctly. ELN Senior Policy Fellow Alexander Graef writes that this is where confidence-and security-building measures (CSBMs) may help. They can reinforce deterrence by demonstrating capabilities to observers and clarify the difference between sabre-rattling and genuine threats, but only if all sides share an interest in stability.

9 September 2025 | Alexander Graef
Commentary

Europe needs 360º resilience and the private sector is key

The recent UK Strategic Defence Review and the French National Strategic Review both stress the importance of the readiness of European countries to withstand and recover from a wide variety of threats. ELN network member Nicholas Dungan writes that business leaders need to seize the initiative and assume their own responsibility for the implementation of a whole-of-society comprehensive security model across the European continent, together with their political and military counterparts.

2 September 2025 | Nicholas Dungan
Person

Karin von Hippel

Dr Karin von Hippel manages a diverse portfolio that includes organisations focusing on defence, security, geopolitics, open-source intelligence, and advanced technology. She also serves as a Trustee for several charities, including the National Archives Trust. She is a Distinguished Fellow at...