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Peter Rautenbach

PhD candidate at the University of Leicester

Peter Rautenbach is a Canadian part-time PhD candidate at the University of Leicester, currently living in Germany. His research explores how AI-enabled decision-support systems shape human decision-making in nuclear crises. Using experimental wargaming, he studies how we can generate usable, high-quality data on human–AI interaction in nuclear settings.

Beyond his PhD, he focuses on the broader intersection of emerging technologies and conflict risk. His past work includes serving as an adjunct researcher with the Berkeley Risk and Security Lab on AI and wargaming, researching the intersection of solar geoengineering and conflict risk with the RESILIENCER Project, and studying AI–NC3 integration risks as a research fellow with CERI.

Content by Peter Rautenbach

Commentary

Play to prevent: How wargames can map AI-nuclear dangers

The integration of AI into nuclear command and control seems all but inevitable. While there are benefits, there are also considerable risks. Experimental wargaming—realistic simulations with controlled variables—offers a powerful tool for investigating how AI could affect nuclear decision-making. Peter Rautenbach suggests three paths forward for how policymakers can use wargaming to generate quality data around AI and nuclear risks.

1 August 2025 | Peter Rautenbach