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Alexander Graef

Programme Lead, European Security and Russia

Dr. Alexander Graef is the European Security and Russia Programme Lead at the European Leadership Network. He was previously a Senior Policy Fellow.

Previously, he was a Senior Researcher at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH), where he is part of the Arms Control and Emerging Technologies project, funded by the German Federal Foreign Office.

His research lies at the intersection of security studies, arms control, and deterrence, as well as political sociology, with a particular focus on Russian foreign and military policies and European defence issues. He studied cultural studies and international relations and holds a PhD from the University of St. Gallen (Switzerland). Prior to joining IFSH, he was a Doc.Mobility Fellow of the Swiss National Science Foundation at the National Research University Higher School of Economics in Moscow.

He is also a former fellow of the Arms Control Negotiation Academy (ACONA), hosted by the Negotiation Task Force at Harvard University’s Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, and participates in the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG).

Image credit: IFSH

Content by Alexander Graef

Report

Managing long-term confrontation with Russia: Elements of a European strategy

The evolving confrontation between Europe and Russia is not a temporary crisis but a long-term condition that must be managed. In this report, ELN Senior Policy Fellow Alexander Graef sets out a strategy for governing a prolonged and adversarial relationship with Moscow beyond the war, focused on strengthening European political agency, credible deterrence, and governing escalation risks.

18 March 2026 | Alexander Graef
Commentary

Not so quiet on the Western Front: Why Russia’s Zapad exercise highlights the need for military confidence-building measures

Russia’s strategic exercise Zapad, which begins later this week, is not only about combat preparation; it is also an instrument of strategic communication. The real challenge is reading it correctly. ELN Senior Policy Fellow Alexander Graef writes that this is where confidence-and security-building measures (CSBMs) may help. They can reinforce deterrence by demonstrating capabilities to observers and clarify the difference between sabre-rattling and genuine threats, but only if all sides share an interest in stability.

9 September 2025 | Alexander Graef