Nuclear Weapons and Emerging Technologies
The rapid integration of emerging and disruptive technologies into nuclear decision-making is introducing new and poorly understood risks. Advances in artificial intelligence, cyber capabilities, and data systems are becoming increasingly entangled with nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3), reshaping how information is processed, decisions are made, and crises unfold. While these technologies may enhance speed and situational awareness, they also risk compressing decision-making timelines and introducing new pathways to miscalculation and unintended escalation.
The ELN’s Nuclear Weapons and Emerging Technologies Programme addresses these challenges by analysing how technological change is transforming nuclear risk, and by developing practical, policy-relevant solutions. It focuses on the risks arising from human-machine interaction, automation bias, and system vulnerabilities, while identifying opportunities to strengthen resilience and safeguards within nuclear decision-making systems.
Through cutting-edge research, collaborative projects, and sustained engagement with policymakers and practitioners, the programme translates complex technical issues into actionable recommendations. Leveraging ELN’s multinational network and partnerships, it works to raise awareness, close critical knowledge gaps, and drive the adoption of risk reduction measures, helping ensure that technological innovation does not outpace the safeguards needed to prevent nuclear catastrophe.
Project Publications
The European Leadership Network at the 2026 NPT Review Conference
Building on our work throughout the review cycle, join the ELN for two state-sponsored side events at the 2026 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, United Nations, New York.
Related Content
AI enables strategic stupidity. That should terrify Europe
AI-enabled warfare is giving the United States unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, writes Erasmus University Rotterdam Professor Michal Onderco. From the Caracas raid to strikes in Iran, reduced risks enable operations with minimal casualties. That ease lowers the bar for war, leaving allies exposed to miscalculation and dependence on a partner willing to act without planning the aftermath.
Towards a better understanding of human bias in nuclear decision-making and its interaction with emerging and disruptive technologies
This report by Ganna Pogrebna and ELN Senior Policy Fellow Rishi Paul presents findings from an ELN workshop that examined the ‘human’ and ‘machine’ components of bias and their points of interaction. The report highlights how human judgment and AI systems can interact in ways that reinforce, rather than reduce, risk.
From Risk to Reduction: Practical steps for safer nuclear systems
Nuclear weapons aren’t going anywhere, and the way we manage them can and must keep evolving. Today’s security environment is more complex than during the Cold War: more nuclear-armed states, faster decision-making technologies, and fewer treaties providing guardrails. The good news? Proven tools exist to reduce risk, from fail-safe mechanisms to dialogue between adversaries, and they don’t all require perfect trust or total agreement. This animation explains both the challenges and the credible paths forward.
The AI lens of cognitive warfare: Why LLMs language bias is a security risk
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLN member Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda. Samokhodskyi writes that this is a cognitive warfare problem that shapes how millions of users understand contested events. Europe needs to take three policy steps to address this.
The NPT can’t ignore emerging technologies anymore
As State Parties prepare for the 2026 Review Conference, Bailey Schiff and Diya Ashtakala write that engaging with emerging technologies, which are already transforming military programmes, as well as verification and civilian nuclear programmes, offers a way to break entrenched debates. Revisiting longstanding challenges regarding non-proliferation and the peaceful uses of nuclear technology through the framework of emerging technologies may be one of the few practical paths to relieve pressure on the NPT by opening space for innovation and debate across the three pillars.
Why states should remain in the Anti-Personnel Mine Ban Convention: humanitarian and security imperatives
On Saturday, 10 January, Finland’s withdrawal from the Anti-Personnel Mine Ban Convention or ‘Ottawa Treaty’, will come into effect. This follows the earlier withdrawals of Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia. Gary Toombs writes that while landmines may seem appealing as cheap, simple tools of defence, in reality, they are militarily outdated, strategically counterproductive, and devastating in humanitarian, economic, and environmental terms. States on the path to leaving the treaty should reconsider, as withdrawal would not strengthen their security but would undermine international law, erode alliances, and cause generational harm.